Revista Mexicana de Estudios Electorales

The 2023 subnational elections and the multi-level reconfiguration of party competition in México

Omar Baez Caballero, Ninfa Elizabeth Hernández Trejo — Mon, 13 Oct 2025 00:00:00 +0000

Why did the alliance led by the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) prevail in the State of Mexico over the alliance led by the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), while the PRI, along with its allies, retained the governorship of Coahuila against Morena, which competed without allies? A detailed analysis of the cases suggests that the answer is linked to the multi-level reconfiguration of party competition in Mexico since 2018: the decline of the older parties and the rise of Morena. Furthermore, the influence of party candidate nomination processes—citizen disapproval of internal divisions in Coahuila—and the approval (in Coahuila) and disapproval (in the State of Mexico) levels of the governors were relevant in the 2023 elections.

The impact of the political parties’ funding model on the party system in jalisco

Jorge Gerardo Flores-Díaz — Mon, 13 Oct 2025 00:00:00 +0000

This paper examines the electoral reforms in Jalisco, with the emphasis on the 2017 reform on the party funding model, and the evolution of the party system in the state. The objetive is to determine the influence of the electoral rules on the configuration of political parties. It is claimed that, in accordance with the literature based on the “Duverger’s laws”, the electoral system in the state has important effects on the party system. In particular, this study concludes that the party funding model passed in 2017 constituted a clear institutional incentive for creating new local political parties, such as the case of the following parties: SOMOS, FUTURO and HAGAMOS. However, the most relevant changes in the party system in Jalisco, as the transition from a bipartisan party system between the PRI and the PAN (1995-2015) to a bipartisan party system between the PRI and the Citizen Movement Party (2015-2018), and the recent rise of the Morena Party, are not explained by the changes in the electoral system.

Party programs or personal agendas? An analysis of the programmatic bases in Latin America presidential systems

Itzel Ethelvina Cruz Pérez — Mon, 13 Oct 2025 00:00:00 +0000

This paper analyzes the electoral programs registered in eight Latin American countries with the aim of determining: How common are personalized programs in Latin America? And under what conditions are personalized programs more likely to be broadcast? Through a content analysis of 202 documents from 53 elections, the study examines whether the programs focus on the candidate (personalized), the party (partisan), or a combination of the two (joined). The results show that personalized platforms are less common than expected in these presidential systems. It also finds that factors such as the level of institutionalization and party laws can influence the way candidates and parties structure their programmatic bases in Latin America.

Are elections predictable? Legitimacy and relevance of prediction in social sciences and political science

Orestes Enrique Díaz Rodríguez — Mon, 13 Oct 2025 00:00:00 +0000

Academic leaders in the philosophy of science and political science have actively participated in the debate on the legitimacy of social science prediction. Through an extensive documentary review, this research exposes the key stages in the evolution of this discussion, the arguments and experiences that ultimately favored one side of the conflict, while revealing the paradox that characterizes the current panorama of political science in this field. The originality of this work also lies in the fact that, based on solid empirical evidence derived from comparative studies, it presents a multivariate model for predicting presidential elections in Latin America. This prototype offers specialists an electoral forecasting tool designed to reduce the sometimes controversial dependence on models based on the aggregation of voting intention surveys.

The Impact of Informal Rule Enforcement in the Internal Selection of Presidential Candidates for Mexico’s 2024 Election: An Analysis from the Perspective of Electoral Governance

Elizabeth Susana Rodríguez Martínez — Mon, 13 Oct 2025 00:00:00 +0000

This article analyzes the internal selection process of presidential candidates in Mexico for the 2024 election, using the stages of electoral governance as a methodological framework. Through a qualitative approach, it examines the interaction among political actors, the enforcement of legal and regulatory norms at both the party and national levels, and the rulings issued by the electoral judiciary in response to irregularities and overreach by pre-candidates, including the intervention of the Executive Branch during the selection process.

The main contribution of this study lies in highlighting the impact of informal rule application within institutionalized contexts, which has led to the gradual erosion of Mexican democracy. Furthermore, the article underscores the absence of effective mechanisms for the protection of political and electoral rights at the international level. Since political parties are considered private entities by the Inter-American Court of Human Rights, they are not legally accountable under international law. As a result, the rulings of the Superior Chamber of the Electoral Tribunal of the Federal Judiciary are final and unchallengeable before international bodies, placing citizens in a state of legal defenselessness. This situation reflects a structural tension in the guarantee of political rights within a democratic regime increasingly marked by authoritarian tendencies.

Javier Contreras Alcántara y Héctor Ramón Alonso Vázquez (2025). Una victoria ¿(in) esperada? El ascenso del Partido Verde en San Luis Potosí: desde sus inicios en 1994 hasta la gubernatura en 2021. San Luis Potosí: El Colegio de San Luis. 109 pp.

Víctor Alarcón Olguín — Mon, 13 Oct 2025 00:00:00 +0000

Presentación

René Valdiviezo Sandoval — Mon, 13 Oct 2025 00:00:00 +0000